28.02.2025 02:12 PM由於昨日唐納德·特朗普的評論及風險資產大幅拋售後市場情緒謹慎，交易中上半天的活動不多。英鎊幾乎提供了一個進入均值回歸策略的切入點，但行情未能逆轉。
德國和法國失望的經濟數據給歐元帶來了壓力。這一負面趨勢突顯了歐元區最大經濟體的消費需求持續疲弱，進一步對單一貨幣施加壓力。交易者擔心，消費活動的下降可能進一步延遲該地區的經濟復甦，從昨天的報告中可以看出，該地區的經濟復甦已經陷入困境。此外，對未來歐洲央行降息的預期繼續抑制歐元買家的熱情。
今天下午，焦點將轉向核心個人消費支出（核心 PCE）指數，這是美國通脹趨勢的重要指標。若數據高於預期，可能會引發美元的強勁反彈，因為這暗示美聯儲可能延遲減息計劃。此外，有關消費者支出、個人收入、貿易平衡和芝加哥採購經理人指數的數據將成為本周最後的宏觀經濟事件。疲弱的數據可能削弱美元的強勢。
如果經濟數據強勁，我將專注於實施動量策略。如果市場未能作出明確反應，我將繼續使用均值回歸策略。
下半天的均值回歸策略（反轉交易）：
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