歐元/美元(EUR/USD)貨幣對表現出引人注目的行為,特別是在目前經濟環境下——在亞洲時段跌至週低點後再次回升。
壓制歐元/美元的主要因素是美國美元從三年低點反彈。儘管對美國經濟的信心減弱以及美聯儲預期更積極的貨幣寬鬆措施,美元仍保持穩定,對歐元/美元施加壓力。然而,這些因素也限制了美元的增長潛力,幫助限制歐元/美元的損失。
從技術角度看,歐元/美元在1.1300的心理水平下方顯示出彈性。此外,日線圖上的MACD出現看漲背離,且相對強弱指數(RSI)脫離超買區域,均對多頭形成支持。因此,等待1.1300水平下方的確認並持續突破,在得出貨幣對在1.1575區域附近已到頂之前是較為謹慎的做法——這一水平最後一次出現在2021年11月。這樣的突破將為下一目標1.1250以及關鍵心理水平1.1200鋪平道路。另一方面,如果該貨幣對能突破並保持在1.1400水平之上,這將開啟朝向更高目標的道路,包括1.1500,並重新測試月度高點1.1575附近——甚至可能達到1.1600。
下午測試1.1305水平時,MACD指標已經大幅低於零線,這限制了貨幣對的下跌潛力。因此,我沒有賣出歐元。
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