24.04.2025 11:35 AM
儘管面臨一定的逆風，日元仍維持看漲態勢，同時由於全球風險意願減弱，提高了對避險資產的需求，因此日元備受關注。
對美中貿易衝突快速解決的希望減少，加上對日本可能與美國達成協議的猜測，和對日本銀行可能加息的期待，都支持了對日元的需求。此外，美聯儲與日本銀行之間的政策分歧擴大，進一步對美元施壓，從而有利於日元的強勢。
日本財務大臣加藤勝信最近的言論強調了該國對美國關稅政策及其對金融市場影響的日益關切。這些關稅所造成的不確定性確實可能對日本經濟構成壓力，這一點也得到了日本銀行行長植田和男的呼應，他暗示可能需要採取貨幣政策措施。
經濟振興大臣赤澤亮正赴美進行關稅談判，這次訪問可能是減輕關稅對日本經濟負面影響的關鍵一步。然而，投資者對日本銀行在2025年加息的可能性仍抱有樂觀態度，反映出對通脹持續上升至 2% 目標以上的信心。
與此同時，美聯儲降息預期正在推動美日之間的貨幣政策出現重大分歧。交易者已經在計入美聯儲新的寬鬆周期，預計將於6月開始，預測年底前至少會有三次降息。
技術展望：
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